With Bismarck you can follow the twists and turns of a true (and monstrous) genius in great detail and learn an extraordinary amount about how politics, government, war and diplomacy truly work. , summarising the arguments on why artificial general intelligence is so dangerous and why controlling these dangers is so very hard. If you want to understand the modern intellectual classes media, academia and politics this plugs you straight into their psychology. Vernon Smith, economics Nobel-winner, argues that TOMS provides a better basis for economic models and prediction than modern neoclassical economics. In all of these struggles I tried to follow Boyds advice such as, and in all of them, as the opponents OODA crumbled I observed what Boyd said would happen: it starts to feel like your opponent is working for you, the more they try, the worse it gets (e.g when Cameron called the press conference to denounce lies about the fact that Turkey was in the process of joining the EU!). A year later he lost a power struggle with. He regarded the universe as a cryptogram set by the Almighty. I think hes right that most academics assume models for how this works that are clearly not how people really think under pressure. Something on how ideas change over different time scales. by Lee Kuan Yew. The best modern subject for those interested in how political decisions are taken and effective action in politics/government is, . The insider account of the Manhattan Project by its legendary leader. I googled recently after getting no reply to an email and learned to my dismay that he died of cancer last year. , Marcus du Sautoy. We look back on history and abstract over decades or centuries, judging the ideas that held sway for a few decades and sneering at how formerly all the world was mad as Nietzsche put it. Below is a summary of the main ideas. There are fields like professional mathematics and equity investing where institutions mean the best people are recognised over time. summarising responses to this. Its crucial to remember both aspects of this genius-monster without whom probably no World War I, Lenin, Hitler etc summed up by Salisburys two comments: One misses the extraordinary penetration of the old man and he will do things of which it would be absurd to suspect any other statesman in Europe. David wrote some of the breakthrough papers on quantum computers. Fascinating. (Also note that the oversight for Groves was a group of just four who met with no secretariat and no formal records.) Clausewitz. Its fascinating both for getting hard things done and how to reform science funding. , Hardy. There is a great Commentary by Gomme and Andrewes, two of the great 20th C classical scholars. I applied his basic ideas in the euro campaign, in the 2004 North East referendum, in thinking through education reform and trying to get the Department for Education to do what I wanted, in the Brexit referendum, in solving the 2019 impasse, in No10, and to removing this PM since spring 2021. I wish there was something similar on the history of the LMB at Cambridge, one of our crown jewels which Whitehall (and the VC office) has gradually buried with stupid regulation. Makers of Modern Strategy, Paret et al. A widely praised new biography of John von Neumann, the man Einstein, Bohr, Dirac, Pauli et al thought was the smartest person they knew. Youll see its very similar to Grovess principles (above). The insider account of the Manhattan Project by its legendary leader. I googled recently after getting no reply to an email and learned to my dismay that he died of cancer last year. Twitter Web App Retweets This Tweet was deleted by the Tweet author. Psychologie des foules, Gustave le Bon. Jean Monnet created the ECSC and EEC/EU. Nelson, biography by John Sugden. Richard Muller. Reckoning With Risk, Gigerenzer. The Nazis did indeed think they were creating a new world beyond good and evil, so did Stalin. , Polya. It is by far the best insider book Ive read on modern UK politics and the only one that realistically and honestly faces a) the failures of MPs as managers and systems thinkers, and b) the failures of the civil service. Will. , Ben Rich. It also corrects a lot of modern books that have reverted to the World War I was a terrible accident / railway timetables idea in fact crucial nodes in the Prussian deep state network were trying to force war in summer 1914 and to manipulate Wilhelm II into going along with their plans. Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. If you really are interested in policy and how someone tries to bring principles of high performance to government, this is essential. A lot of Boyd (including getting inside your enemys OODA loop) is interpreting Sun Tzu after 2,000 years of case studies proving him right plus some modern ideas. On dynamic tools, interface design, Seeing Rooms, new ideas about programming, tools for thought, and so on, read Bret Victor, a rare genius. It is, therefore, practically unknown in SW1. I was amazed and desperate. Please just ask one question as precisely as you can, it will increase the chance I answer. A Cavendish Quantum Mechanics Primer, Professor Mark Warner. A classic book on mathematical problem solving. by Rumelt. Complexity Economics, Beinhocker. Mindstorms, Seymour Papert. Considered by many in Silicon Valley to be the best book on the details of management. Many who used them went on to the famous Kolmogorov schools.). The point that Producers didnt want to make a Renoir picture even if it was a success is really important. For this unprecedented project in world history Groves had no huge central staff, he worked with a brilliant woman and a tiny staff with truly extreme decentralisation. I applied his basic ideas in the euro campaign, in the 2004 North East referendum, in thinking through education reform and trying to get the Department for Education to do what I wanted, in the Brexit referendum, in solving the 2019 impasse, in No10, and to removing this PM since spring 2021. A classic on the 1972 campaign. Almost anything good you read on strategy and conflict is based on ideas you see here. some Kay emails, Sydney Brenner interview on the hideous science funding system. Working Backwards, by Amazon alumni. Elite opinion in London today is dominated by very similar people with very similar education and very similar views that inevitably include assumptions that will prove false like the British navy rules the waves (true and a useful heuristic for many decades then suddenly and drastically not true) and values that will seem evil/comical. The best biography in English (probably any language) is Otto Pflanzes three volumes. Gdels Theorem: An Incomplete Guide to its Use and Abuse, Franzen. One of Britains most senior and respected civil servants, Michael Quinlan, wrote this paper after retiring, Thinking About Nuclear Weapons, on nuclear strategy. Classic text, university level. Never At Rest, Westfall. A good introduction to P=NP?. Governments find it very, very hard to fund such ventures. I was not. , Spivak (2008 edition). , Slotkin. The Man from the Future, Bhattacharya. Most of the world is not like this! He replied to Yudkowskys AGI ruin, . Reagans White House was better at communication than any other in the modern era partly because they did not rely on normal political staff but brought people in from Hollywood. Fab: From Personal Computers to Personal Fabrication, Gershenfeld (MIT). One of the most critical lessons? If youre involved in Isaac Physics and want to discuss how it could continue please get in touch.). For example: The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. If you want to follow the cutting edge of this research follow, , which you should anyway. 121. I searched for explanations. What does it say about the West that their newspaper propaganda was much higher class than most elite philosophy now? Just in Time, John Hoskyns. Theres no question about this. His. (NB. Also though, everybody has bad luck and those who survive long enough to get good luck are very perseverant. A history of ARPA-IPTO and Xerox PARC: how the internet and PC revolution was created. Nobel-winner, Feynman sparring partner, co-founder of Santa Fe Institute, wrote a book on complex systems for the general reader. If you get into it you have no right to be bitter, youre the one who sat down and joined the game People who dont succeed, people whove had long bad times like Renoir Renoir was the best director ever are people who didnt want to make the kind of pictures that producers want to make. , John Allen Paulos (1988). By Andy Hayes, news reporter Thursday 27 May 2021 06:28, UK Matt Hancock, Boris Johnson, Carrie Symonds and even Dilyn the dog have been the focus of numerous explosive claims from Dominic Cummings He also wrote a book on neural networks. Tyler Cowen, Patrick Collison and others have been trying to push some of the principles of how to do hard things into economics and government, in similar ways to some of my arguments over the years. Autocracy has wide variance in performance one minute you have Bismarck in charge, the next you have Wilhelm II firing him and trying to govern himself in an appalling disaster that took the best educated country in the world towards Nazism. Sources of Power, Klein. In all of these struggles I tried to follow Boyds advice such as, connect yourself to sources of power, disconnect your opponent and in all of them, as the opponents OODA crumbled I observed what Boyd said would happen: it starts to feel like your opponent is working for you, the more they try, the worse it gets (e.g when Cameron called the press conference to denounce lies about the fact that Turkey was in the process of joining the EU!). In 2018 I asked some academics to consider this and we built a crude tool. What is moral behaviour is not the same question as what are the principles of high performance in politics! Theres no question about this. His Art of Doing Science and Engineering is considered a classic but Ive not read. (A great highlight of Oxford for me was four-hour tutorials with RLF on Athenian democracy, Thucydides, Alexander etc.). Ditto for the Johnson volumes (Ive not read) when Caro publishes the last. His boss and predecessor was Kelly Johnson who wrote this short list of principles. by Gomme and Andrewes, two of the great 20th C classical scholars. Pentagon Wars, Burton. LKY, Boyd, Groves all say the same). (NB. Its fascinating both for getting hard things done and how to reform science funding. Some of the unpublished stuff in Gdels Collected Works is extraordinary, e.g his secret search for the truth about Leibniz. Anybody who goes to Hollywood can see right away what the setup is Hollywood is Hollywood, theres nothing you can say about it that isnt true, good or bad. Functions and Graphs, Gelfand and Glagoleva.
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